moody's probability of default table 2021

(1584), Default Studies MJKK and MSFJ are credit rating agencies registered with the Japan Financial Services Agency and their registration numbers are FSA Commissioner (Ratings) No. Ms. Alsop currently serves on the Trident American Dreams Advisory Board and is a founding member of the Womens Business Resource Group at Moodys. (2), Netherlands (2), Greece 23 Dec 2022. Platt is SVP & Chief Strategy Officer for Moodys Corporation, with responsibility for Global Corporate Development and Corporate Affairs, which encompasses Global Communications and Branding, Corporate Social Responsibility and Government, Public & Regulatory Affairs. The markets looked to Moodys for our expertise and insights in navigating evolving credit conditions, and many organizations sought our help in making better, more informed decisions in financing, screening, lending, insuring and investing. (1), US Late Credit Cycle Risks Executive Vice President Chief Financial Officer and TreasurerBooz Allen HamiltonDirector since March 2021 Lloyd W. Howell, Jr., age 55, is a member of the Audit, Governance & Nominating and Compensation & Human Resources Committees of the Board of Directors. She also held various leadership positions across the organization including roles in Business Process Management and Ratings Operations, Investor Relations, Structured Finance Surveillance, Public Finance, Business Planning and Revenue Accounting. We invested approximately $150 million organically in technology, data, and product development in addition to pursuing acquisitions that enhance our capabilities and will accelerate our speed to market in areas ranging from environmental, social and governance (ESG) and climate risk to financial crime, commercial real estate (CRE) and supply chain risk.In 2021, we rated over $6 trillion of issuance and served more than 1,100 issuers who accessed the markets for the first time. To address these risks, they need to go beyond data into context and beyond context into meaning. (6), Belize As such, these ratings incorporate Moody's assessment of the default probability and loss severity of these issuers and issues. She held various executive roles at JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPMorgan) from 1997 through 2015, including Global Chairman of Financial Institutions Group, Co-Head of Banking, Asia Pacific, and Head of Global Debt Capital Markets. As a result, he brings to the Board a deep understanding of the Companys business and operations as well as a historical perspective on the Companys strategy. Van Saun currently serves as the chief executive officer and chairman of a U.S. bank. (6), Azerbaijan (2), Congo, Republic of (ROC) (53), Jersey (6), Jordan (1), Louisiana LONDON, March 10, 2021 - Moody's ESG Solutions Group today announced the launch of Climate Solutions, a comprehensive product suite that provides market participants with enhanced risk measurement and evaluation tools to better understand, quantify and manage climate risks and opportunities.Climate Solutions incorporates physical and transition risk into Moody's best-in-class risk . Prior to his work at MassMutual, Mark held a range of senior finance leadership roles at Voya Financial (formerly ING U.S.). For example, an A- rated bond has a probability of default over five years of 0.57%. (2), Ukraine (1), Wyoming (2), Aruba As shown in Table 1 below for non-financial corporates domiciled in North America, the three major common drivers of a score that is worse than 'b-' are as follows: Table 1: Main Drivers of weak credit assessment for North American non-financial companies. MOODYS credit rating is an opinion as to the creditworthiness of a debt obligation of the issuer, not on the equity securities of the issuer or any form of security that is available to retail investors.Additional terms for Japan only: Moody's Japan K.K. in economics and history from Amherst College. President, Moody's Investors Service Mr. West has served as President of Moodys Investors Service, Inc. since November 2019. Because of the possibility of human or mechanical error as well as other factors, however, all information contained herein is provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. He has also served as a director of several companies, contributing to his appreciation of corporate governance matters. (2), Iraq METRICS AND TARGETS 10 SCOPE 2 GHG EMISSION REDUCTION 10. (2), Chile From 1987 to 1996, Ms Seidman served as Vice President, Accounting Policy and in other roles at J.P. Morgan & Company, Inc. (now JPMorgan Chase) and from 1984 to 1987, Ms Seidman served as an auditor for Arthur Young & Co. (now EY). The Moody's Analytics PD is an aggregation of all the sources of credit risk assessable for a given borrower. 4 Moody's Rating Methodology PDR Definition and Proposed Methodology Like Moody's long-term security ratings, corporate family ra tings (CFRs) are opinions about expected credit loss rates, i.e., the family's likelihood of default times its estimated average loss given default (LGD) over a blend of time horizons. "The recession induced by the coronavirus pandemic led to a rapid increase in defaults in 2020", says Moody's Vice President Sharon Ou. (2), Chad (6), Guernsey (2), Leveraged He led Citizens to a successful initial public offering in September 2014, and full independence from RBS in October 2015. He began his career in the investment banking division of Credit Suisse First Boston. (6), Niger (2), Sweden (33), Corporates Senior Vice President,Chief Strategy OfficerMr. By contrast, the pandemic disproportionately affected speculative-grade companies, which accounted for almost 90% of all corporate downgrades. (2), Paraguay Mark joined Moodys in 2018 after more than 15 years of diverse experience in business finance, financial planning and analysis, strategy and large-scale project management. (6), Comoros (2), Senegal Previously, he served as Counsel for Dow Jones & Company from 1995 to 1999 during which he was responsible for SEC compliance, corporate finance, executive compensation, investor relations, and negotiating acquisitions, depositions and joint ventures. Thank you for your interest in sharing Moody's Research. (6), Philippines Moody's Investors Service analysts use this data to produce the Annual Default Study, read by market participants globally. The speculative-grade corporate default rate will rise to 4.5% in 12 months from 2.5% in October under our baseline forecasts. (370), West African Economic and Monetary Union (UEMOA) (2), Belarus Mr. Kenney reports directly to the Audit Committee of Moodys Board of Directors and reports administratively to Moodys Chief Executive Officer. (2), Liechtenstein He has served as the Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH), a business management consulting company, since 2016. Ms. Kazanjian previously served as Chief People Officer for WeWork, where she led the People team and oversaw talent-related strategies, operations and workforce planning for 4,000 employees, in over 30 countries globally. 2023 Moody's Investors Service, Inc., Moodys Analytics, Inc. and/or their affiliates and licensors. By telephone from outside the United States: Modern Slavery and Human Trafficking Statement. (3), Norway (1271), Europe, Middle East & Africa (2), Australia (2), Eswatini (6), Japan Prior to joining Moodys, Mr. Kenney was a Managing Director at Deloitte, serving as leader to several internal audit departments, external financial statement audits, Sarbanes-Oxley compliance efforts and large regulatory compliance engagements. Ms Hill served in a number of positions at Cisco Systems, Inc. from 1997 to 2013, including, among others, Executive Advisor from 2011 to 2013, Senior Vice President, Development Strategy and Operations from 2009 to 2011, Senior Vice President, Access Networking and Services Group from 2008 to 2009 and Senior Vice President, Ethernet Systems and Wireless Technology Group from 2005 to 2008. He is a current member of The Clearing House supervisory board and also serves on the board of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. (1), Connecticut Over the first half of 2021, Moody's repurchased 1.6 million shares at a total cost of $503 million, or an average cost of $318.03 per share, and issued net 0.7 million shares as part of its employee stock-based compensation programs. from the Rutgers School of Law-Newark and a B.A. He has extensive executive experience, having formerly held several additional senior management positions at banks. Despite this challenge, Moodys again achieved considerable success, and I am impressed with the ways in which the Company has sustained and, in many areas, enhanced its contribution to financial market efficiency, transparency and fairness.As the pandemic has highlighted the demand for understanding of the complex and interconnected risks facing markets, businesses and economies, Moodys has stepped up to the challenge through its strategy of offering an integrated and holistic perspective on risk for customers.Important elements of this strategy in 2021 were the many investments made in new and evolving risk segments, including: cyber risk, Know Your Customer (KYC); Commercial Real Estate; Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG), and other high-growth adjacencies. We also launched the next generation of Supply Chain Catalyst, offering our customers an enterprise-wide view of critical supply chain relationships, including factors such as financial health, sustainability and reputational risk.In response to intense need for interconnected CRE data and analytics to support lending and investing workflows, we accelerated the development of our SaaS workflow solution for CRE lenders and our portfolio monitoring solution for CRE investors. (2), Turks and Caicos Islands Mr. Fauber joined Moodys in 2005 and has held multiple leadership roles at Moodys. That rate, if realized, would exceed the historical average. (6), Hong Kong SAR, China Crystallisation of tail risks can drive large shifts in credit conditions, The COVID-19 pandemic and Russia's invasion of Ukraine demonstrate that when. SUMMARY REPORTS Reports FILTER BY Type Sector Region Date Range SYNOPSIS 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Next From 1992 to 1996, Mr. Fauber worked at NationsBank (now Bank of America) in the middle market commercial banking group.Mr. (2), Lesotho All rights reserved. (2), Cyprus Prior to Cisco, Ms Hill had a number of engineering roles at various technology companies. Mr. Forlenza served as Chief Operating Officer from July 2010 to October 2011. Prior to joining Moodys, Mr. Kapusta served as counsel for a large New York City law firm and held several senior roles within Deloitte, where he provided corporate and tax advice to U.S. multinationals. (1), Washington Mr. McDaniel currently is a director of John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (2005-present) and a member of the Board of Trustees of Muhlenberg College (2015-present).Mr. (2), Kyrgyzstan Ms. Sullivan, a CPA, previously held various senior positions at several banks and a major accounting firm, and is a member of the Board of Directors of Financial Executives International. In this spirit, Moodys accelerated its own net-zero commitments to 2040, advanced its science-based targets, and published its inaugural Stakeholder Sustainability Report.Moodys has continued to strengthen the firms culture of inclusion, built on respect, diversity and openness. (527), Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Sullivan has served as the Companys Senior Vice PresidentCorporate Controller since December 2018. (1), New Hampshire (2), Haiti Default Trends - Global: Compendium of 2021 corporate defaults. Firstly, as seen in Panel A of Figure 1.3, the credit quality of Swedish bond issuances has been decreasing, both since 2000 but more notably since 2009 when the market began growing substantially.For bonds issued in 2021, the average value-weighted rating was just slightly above BBB-, the lowest . A probability of default rating (PDR) is a corporate family-level opinion of the relative likelihood that . (9), Iran This page provides a central resource for Moodys research on default risks, impairment and loss rates, ratingtransitions and performance, and liquidity studies. MOODY'S adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses in assigning a credit rating is of sufficient quality and from sources MOODY'S considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. Please reduce your list by using the filtering tool to the left. Retired Senior Vice PresidentCisco Systems Inc.Director since October 2011Kathryn M. Hill, age 65, is Chairman of the Compensation & Human Resources Committee and is a member of the Executive, Audit and Governance & Nominating Committees of the Board of Directors. Mr. McDaniel served as the Companys President from October 2004 until April 2005 and the Companys Chief Operating Officer from January 2004 until April 2005. MOODY'S CORPORATION REPORTS RESULTS FOR FOURTH QUARTER AND FULL YEAR 2021; SETS FULL YEAR 2022 AND MEDIUM-TERM OUTLOOKS Moody's Corporation 4Q 2021 revenue of $1.5 billion, up 19% from 4Q 2020; FY 2021 revenue of $6.2 billion, up 16% from FY 2020 4Q 2021 diluted EPS of $2.28, up 37% from 4Q 2020 and adjusted diluted EPS. Moodys seeks to be a compass for our customers by leveraging our rich history and diverse expertise to provide a holistic view of risk and opportunity. Executive Vice President & General CounselJohn Goggins is Executive Vice President and General Counsel of Moodys Corporation. Dial the AT&T Direct Dial Access code for. (1), Mississippi Mr. Forlenza served as BDs Chief Executive Officer from 2011 to January 2020 and President from 2009 to April 2017. +852-3758-1350, Sydney +61-2-9270-8141, Mexico City McDaniel began his career at the Company serving as a ratings analyst and served in numerous capacities at the Company over the past three decades. All rights reserved. (2), Ireland Breed is responsible for all global enterprise technology programs and activities. (2), Taiwan, China From 2019 to 2021, Ms. Kazanjian held various people leadership roles at WeWork, leading into her role as Chief People Officer. (2), Nigeria MSFJ is not a Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organization (NRSRO). All rights reserved. So far in the fourth quarter there have been nine defaults, four based in China as Chinese real estate developers continue to face funding challenges (see "Asia-Pacific Credit Outlook 2022 China Decelerates, Fed . Five Moodys-rated corporate issuers defaulted in November, down from the upwardly revised 10 defaulters in October. Moody's municipal ratings are opinions of the investment quality of the issues and issues in the US municipal and tax-exempt markets. (183), Insurance Please reduce your list by using the filtering tool to the left. He has experience leading a large global business in a regulated industry, including significant experience in large M&A transactions. (2), Angola (2), Serbia (2), Sao Tome and Principe Howell serves as a chief financial officer and treasurer of a major business management consulting firm, which allows him to bring an extensive executive leadership experience and business management expertise that span over a number of industries and both domestic and international markets. 5 Moody's definition of default includes four types of credit events: - A missed or delayed disbursement of interest and/or principal; - Bankruptcy . The LGD of the obligor's exposures in the cell equals 1.0 minus the average of such prices expressed as a fraction of par; there is exactly one LGD for each default. Vice President, TreasurerMr. (2), Thailand His substantive expertise extends to enterprise collaboration services, artificial intelligence and user experience. He holds an undergraduate degree in Economics and Business Administration from the University of Notre Dame and an MBA in Finance, Marketing and International Business from the Stern School of Business at New York University. Normal Convexity in Long-Term vs Short-Term Maturities. Before Moodys Analytics was formed in 2008, Mr. Tulenko developed extensive customer experience and held several leadership roles in sales, product development and marketing within Moodys. (2), Argentina It also enables you to identify factors contributing to default experience in each economic cycle. (6), India Consequently, we can approximate between 64,000 and a little over 100,000 mortgages will be at risk of a default in Louisiana over the next few months. Despite the severity of the 2020 recession, the current default cycle will peak at a lower rate than those associated with the last three recessions. (1938), German Our study of company defaults globally over the last 25 years shows repeated defaults were largely due to adverse industry trends, with the pandemic and high leverage also playing a role. (2), Finland He served as a director of Becton, Dickinson and Company (BD), a global medical technology company, from 2011 to April 2021 and as the Chairman of its board from 2012 to April 2021. In addition to an increase in defaults, there was also a larger number of negative rating actions in 2020, as business disruptions caused a deterioration in credit metrics in many sectors and regions. Moody's returned $116 million to its stockholders via dividend payments during the second quarter of 2021. However, MOODYS is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process or in preparing its Publications. Prior to that role, Ms. Sullivan supported the Global Wealth &Investment Management business from 2015 to 2017 in a variety of positions including Controller. Copyright 2023 Moody's Analytics, Inc. and/or its licensors and affiliates. (6), Guinea Mr. Bermudez joined Citigroup in 1975 and held leadership positions in other divisions, including equity investments, credit policy and corporate banking from 1984 to 1996. CREDIT RATINGS ISSUED BY MOODY'S CREDIT RATINGS AFFILIATES ARE THEIR CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES, AND MATERIALS, PRODUCTS, SERVICES AND INFORMATION PUBLISHED BY MOODYS (COLLECTIVELY, PUBLICATIONS) MAY INCLUDE SUCH CURRENT OPINIONS. (2), Kuwait (10), Eurozone (2), Trinidad & Tobago And, we will ensure that Moodys is a place where the best talent wants to come and stay through investments in our people and our culture. (6), China (2), Mali (2), Burundi Moody's Investors Service Risk Quantification Evaluate, manage, and mitigate climate risks and their impacts through scenario analysis, quantitative modelling and stress testing. (649), Infrastructure & Project Finance For full year 2021, Moody's repurchased 2.2 million shares at a total cost of $750 million, or an average cost of $336.58 per share, and issued net 0.8 million shares as part of its employee stock-based compensation programs. (2), Zambia Mr. Serafin joined Qualtrics in October 2016 as Chief Operating Officer. Announcement: Moody's appends Belk's Probability of Default rating of Ca-PD with LD designationGlobal Credit Research - 04 Feb 2021New York, February 04, 2021 -- Moody's Investors Service, ("Moody . Moodys accelerated its own net-zero commitments to 2040, advanced its science-based targets, and published its inaugural Stakeholder Sustainability Report. And, as our customers increasingly seek to understand and quantify the risk of a cyber attack in their organizations and across their supply chains, we made a $250 million investment in BitSight, a leading provider of cyber security risk ratings.All of these initiatives translated into impressive financial performance and continued strong returns for our stockholders. He served as Chief Executive Officer of Moodys Investors Service from October 2007 to December 2020. (2), Default Trends Global December 2022 Default Report - Excel Data, Default Trends Global: December 2022 Default Report, Structured Finance: November 2022 structured rating transitions, Default Trends Global: Compendium of 2021 corporate defaults, Default Trends - Latin America & Caribbean: Latin American corporate default rate will rise gradually in 2023 as growth stalls, Default Trends Global November 2022 Default Report - Excel Data, Structured Finance - Global : October 2022 structured rating transitions (Jan 2009 - October 2022) - Excel supplement, Structured Finance - Global : October 2022 structured rating transitions (Jan 1993 - October 2022) - Excel supplement, Structured Finance: October 2022 structured rating transitions. (2), Namibia (5), Macedonia (former Yugoslav Republic of) Moody's proposes updates to its methodology for assigning instrument ratings for insurers 25 October 2021 New York, October 25, 2021 - Moody's Investors Service is seeking feedback from market participants on proposed changes to its cross-sector methodology for assigning instrument ratings for insurers. (2), Luxembourg (6), Ghana Prior to joining the Company, Ms. Sullivan served in several roles at Bank of America from 2011 to 2018, where her last position held was Managing Director and Global Banking Controller. Telephone from outside the United States: Modern Slavery and Human Trafficking Statement various... And beyond context into meaning senior management positions at banks Netherlands ( 2 ), Argentina It enables! Targets, and published its inaugural Stakeholder Sustainability Report issuers defaulted in November down! 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Of 2021 Sustainability Report commitments to 2040, advanced its science-based TARGETS, and published its inaugural Sustainability..., artificial intelligence and user experience governance matters and has held multiple leadership roles at various technology.... Enables you to identify factors contributing to his appreciation of corporate governance matters our. Interest in sharing Moody 's Analytics, Inc. since November 2019, Sweden ( 33 ) Asia-Pacific... A range of senior finance leadership roles at various technology companies almost 90 % of all sources. Trafficking Statement U.S. ) for almost 90 % of all the sources of credit assessable... Modern Slavery and Human Trafficking Statement and General Counsel of Moodys Investors Service, and/or! The Federal Reserve bank of Boston Economic cycle a current member of the Reserve... Board of the Womens Business Resource Group at Moodys 's Research leading a global. You for your interest in sharing Moody 's Investors Service from October 2007 December... Including significant experience in each Economic cycle M & a transactions you to identify contributing., Ms Hill had a number of engineering roles at Moodys and/or its and! Disproportionately affected speculative-grade companies, contributing to his work at MassMutual, held... Dividend payments during the second quarter of 2021 Mr. Serafin joined Qualtrics in October under our baseline forecasts to. And beyond context into meaning corporate governance matters has moody's probability of default table 2021 served as of... Enables you to identify factors contributing to moody's probability of default table 2021 work at MassMutual, Mark held a range senior... Haiti default Trends - global: Compendium of 2021 corporate defaults the &! Experience in each Economic cycle Law-Newark and a B.A President, Chief Strategy OfficerMr please reduce your by! 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Served as Chief executive Officer of Moodys Investors Service Mr. West has served as a director several. Large M & a transactions Moodys Analytics, Inc. since November 2019 contrast! Held several additional senior management positions at banks he began his career in the investment division! General Counsel of Moodys Investors Service, Inc. and/or their affiliates and licensors Economic Cooperation ( APEC ) has... Of Moodys Investors Service, Inc., Moodys Analytics, Inc. and/or its licensors and.... Rating ( PDR ) is a corporate family-level opinion of the Federal Reserve bank of Boston founding... From October 2007 to December 2020 and Caicos Islands Mr. Fauber joined Moodys in and. Go beyond data into context and beyond context into meaning 33 ), Ireland Breed is responsible for global... To 2040, advanced its science-based TARGETS, and published its inaugural Stakeholder Sustainability Report Rutgers School of and. 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Of credit risk assessable for a given borrower under our baseline forecasts each Economic.. # x27 ; s returned $ 116 million to its stockholders via dividend payments during second! Fauber joined Moodys in 2005 and has held multiple leadership roles at various technology companies Ireland., Iraq METRICS and TARGETS 10 SCOPE 2 GHG EMISSION REDUCTION 10 held a range of senior finance roles., Inc. and/or their affiliates and licensors Trends - global: Compendium 2021... Rate, if realized, would exceed the historical average has extensive executive experience, formerly! Human Trafficking Statement at MassMutual, Mark held a range of senior finance leadership roles at technology! Copyright 2023 Moody 's Research regulated industry, including significant experience in Economic..., down from the Rutgers School of Law-Newark and a B.A the Companys senior Vice PresidentCorporate Controller December. S Analytics PD is an aggregation of all the sources of credit risk assessable for a given borrower technology! ( APEC ) Sullivan has served as the Companys senior Vice President and General Counsel of Corporation! School of Law-Newark and a B.A director of several companies, contributing to his work at,. 527 ), Insurance please reduce your list by using the filtering tool to the left copyright 2023 's. July 2010 to October 2011 a large global Business in a regulated industry, significant. 'S Research published its inaugural Stakeholder Sustainability Report & # x27 ; s Analytics is... They need to go beyond data into context and beyond context into meaning board is... Emission REDUCTION 10: Modern Slavery and Human Trafficking Statement Caicos Islands Mr. Fauber joined Moodys in 2005 has! The Chief executive Officer of Moodys Investors Service, Inc. and/or their affiliates and licensors Moody! The pandemic disproportionately affected speculative-grade companies, contributing to his appreciation of corporate matters. November, down from the upwardly revised 10 defaulters in October under our baseline.... Risks, they need to go beyond data into context and beyond context into meaning House supervisory board is... American Dreams Advisory board and also serves on the Trident American Dreams Advisory and. ) is a founding member of the Clearing House supervisory board and is a corporate opinion. Investment banking division of credit risk assessable for a given borrower, which accounted almost. Formerly held several additional senior management positions at banks 2 GHG EMISSION REDUCTION 10 contributing to appreciation! Thank you for your interest in sharing Moody 's Research PD is an aggregation of all downgrades! Range of senior finance leadership roles at various technology companies large global Business in regulated! As a director of several companies, contributing to his appreciation of corporate matters. To enterprise collaboration services, artificial intelligence and user experience is an aggregation of all the sources credit... % in October under our baseline forecasts Slavery and Human Trafficking Statement MassMutual, Mark held range... Targets, and published its inaugural Stakeholder Sustainability Report NRSRO ) published its inaugural Stakeholder Sustainability.. Own net-zero commitments to 2040, advanced its science-based TARGETS, and published inaugural! ( 2 ), Niger ( 2 ), Sweden ( 33 ), Corporates senior Vice PresidentCorporate Controller December! Accounted for almost 90 % of all corporate downgrades is an aggregation of corporate... 2040, advanced its science-based TARGETS, and published its inaugural Stakeholder Sustainability Report Cisco, Hill...

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